Weekly Commentary

Thursday’s move saw SPX blow right through the resistance at 1260 and also through the 200-day moving average at 1272. Those are both significant levels to have overcome. The market may have to spend some time around the 200-day moving average, as it often does when it passes through that level, but the next higher targets of 1310 and then the yearly highs at 1350-1370 should be within range fairly soon.  

The last few days’ action has pushed the Equity-Only put-call ratios onto confirmed buy signals.     

Market breadth indicators have been on buy signals for a couple of weeks, but have recently been overbought. However, it is normal for breadth indicators to be overbought when the market is breaking out to the upside.     

Volatility indices (VIX and VXO) were slow to confirm the upside breakout. With Thursday’s strong push upward by SPX, VIX has finally broken down to new relative lows.    

In summary, the pieces are in place for an extension of this rally.

Larry McMillan


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Larry McMillan


Professional trader Lawrence G. McMillan is perhaps best known as the author of Options As a Strategic Investment, the best-selling work on stock and index options strategies, which has sold over 300,000 copies. An active trader of his own account, he also manages option-oriented accounts for certain individuals. In a research…