Bill Luby

Bill Luby

Bill is a private investor, whose research and trading interests focus on volatility, market sentiment, technical analysis, options and exchange-traded products. His work has been has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Barron’s and other publications. A frequent contributor to Barron’s, Bill also co-founded Expiring Monthly: The Options Traders Journal and authors the VIX and More blog as well as a weekly investment newsletter from just north of San Francisco. Bill has a BA from Stanford University and an MBA from Carnegie-Mellon University. When not trading or blogging, he can often be found running, hiking and kayaking in Northern California.

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Performance of VIX ETPs in 2013

A number of readers have asked me to recap the performance of the VIX ETPs in 2013 according to the leverage/maturity grid I have been publishing for several years. The graphic below should look familiar to long-term readers and measures the performance of all VIX and volatility ETPs for 2013, including dividends. (Two exceptions are [...]

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Was the VIX Too Low in 2013? No…

There was a time when investors would generally fret about the VIX being “too high” and the resulting possibility that there was some sort of unseen threat to the financial markets that was not showing up on their radar. In the last few years, the situation has reversed and now I find investors expressing more [...]

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The Evolution of the Holiday Effect in VIX Futures

With fewer trading days and a historical record that favors an uptick in stocks and a downtick in volatility, the end of the year never fails to present an intriguing set of trading opportunities. One phenomenon related to the above is something I have labeled the “holiday effect,” which is the tendency of the CBOE [...]

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Halloween Monsters

In the spirit of the day and lacking the resources and imagination to do something as elaborate as the Guillermo del Toro couch intro for the 2013 Treehouse of Horrors episode of The Simpsons (definitely worth a click through) I have elected instead to construct a portfolio of what I am calling the Halloween Monsters [...]

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The New VXST and the VXST:VIX Ratio

At the beginning of the month several interesting announcements came out of the CBOE Risk Management Conference in Portugal. One which particularly caught my interest was the announcement of the launch of the new CBOE Short-Term Volatility Index (VXST), which is essentially identical to the VIX, except that whereas the VIX is looking ahead at [...]

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Revisiting the VIX:VXV Ratio

Two of my favorite bloggers, who hail from very different corners of the investment landscape, both happened to mention me in reference to the VIX:VXV ratio in the past few days. On Wednesday, in A Buy Signal from the Option Market, Cam Hui of Humble Student of the Markets, noted that the VIX:VXV ratio had [...]

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Watching Two Key Emerging Markets Currencies

With Syria and the Fed grabbing most of the headlines in the last few days, I wonder how many people have emerging markets currencies at the top of their list of concerns. I am guessing few are poring over the likes of India (EPI), Indonesia (EIDO), Brazil (EWZ), Turkey (TUR), South Africa (EZA), Thailand (THD) [...]

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Charting the Recent Decline of the BRIC Components

U.S. stocks are mostly green in today’s session, though there is a good deal of red in global stocks, notably in emerging markets, where the popular EEM emerging markets ETF is down close to 1% as I type this and the Brazil (EWZ) is down more than 2%. In the chart below, I plot the [...]