John Carter

John Carter

John is a Commodity Trading Advisor with Razor Trading. McGraw Hill commissioned him to write a book entitled Mastering the Trade, which was released in January 2006. Carter has also been featured on ABC Money. He and Hubert Senters founded and run the Trade the Markets web site.

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Time to Short the Rally?

Suddenly the Fed is hinting they may start mopping up the flood of liquidity they’ve poured into the market over the last 4 years. When you break down the stock market game into its simplest form when money is cheap (Fed is keeping rates low) money flows into stocks where there is a potential for [...]

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Who Will Take Over – Bulls or Bears?

Rally Tuesday? Well that seems to be over for now. This market continues to be very yen driven, and overseas news Monday night out of Japan drove the yen higher, which pushed down our beloved stock market.  The real question is, “Can the US market shake off that news and rally onward?” My concerns with [...]

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Is This What They Call a Selloff?

It’s been a while since we’ve seen selling 3 days in a row or selling period. The markets have been knocked on the head by the Fed hammer. The fear, of course, is that QE will “for real” get wrapped up later this year. This would remove a substantial buyer from the bond market, sending [...]

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Gold the Best Short?

Stocks were sloppy all night (that sounds like a country western song?) and even on the open this morning they were on the quiet side. I’ve been looking for NQ 3000 and we are slamming into that as I speak.  From here it gets tricky.  There is no reason to short just because we are at [...]

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Fed vs.Yen

It’s another interesting day in the neighborhood.  While US Stocks are herky jerky sloppy, the Nikkei keeps cruising higher.  So while the Nikkei keeps responding to QE, the US markets are responding to government officials trying to talk it down.  Who will win in the end?  In the end, the market forces rule.  Technically, yes, [...]

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Don’t Be Right, Just Make Money!

Today’s trading day was a little of a rotation day. Yesterday tech was active and everything else was quiet.  Today tech is taking a breather while the rest of the market plays catch up.  I keep watching the US Dollar index to see what it wants to do.  It’s consolidating at resistance.  Bonds are sitting [...]

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What’s Monthly Expiration Good For?

It’s that time of the month again – for options traders that is. Friday is January monthly options expiration and now is the time when you can see the hands of large open options positions play out. There is a lot happening in these final 2 days of options expiration. The big players are rolling [...]

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What Does the VIX Tell Us?

The volatility in the S&P surged to over 20 in the midst of the uncertainty of the fiscal cliff. Now that’s settled the VIX has plunged. However, Americans are getting their first paycheck of 2013 and noticing it’s a bit less than it was in 2012. Wait, I thought the tax hike was only for [...]

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The FOMC Wait and See

This will be the last FOMC meeting of the year and it will be anything but dull. The Fed has to weigh better than expected unemployment numbers with the “We’re broke” rhetoric coming out of Congress. Frankly I’m expecting nothing to change – they will reiterate their policy and we will find out if that’s [...]