Tag Archives: VXN

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Eight Charts to Recap 2015 – CNDR Index Rose 10.4%

End-of-the-year headlines noted “A Roller Coaster Year Ends with U.S. Markets Mostly Down” (New York Times) and “U.S. Stocks Post Worst Annual Losses Since 2008” (The Wall Street Journal). In this new year on Jan. 4, wsj.com noted “Weaker-than-expected manufacturing data and a falling currency triggered a 7% fall in mainland Chinese stocks that led […]






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Weekly Market Outlook – Santa Claus Rally & The Dollar

Last but not least, November’s durable goods orders were posted last week. They weren’t stunning, with or without transportation orders factored in. On the other hand, bear in mind that the figures represent a comparison to October’s totals – not November 2014’s totals. It’s also pretty clear from the chart below that we can’t sweat […]






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Where Is The Floor? – Weekly Market Outlook

Once the bearish ball got rolling last week, it got rolling in spades. In retrospect, however, the pullback makes sense in terms of when, where, and why. The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) as well as the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) both bumped into major technical ceilings, and right on cue, began a retreat that likely isn’t […]






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Bullish Levels Getting Entrenched – Weekly Market Outlook

It wasn’t a pretty or a convincing bullish move, but stocks did make forward progress last week, putting some distance between them and a huge hurdle that had otherwise been holding it back since February. Still, no later than it cleared that ceiling another possible one developed. We’ll take a closer look at this new […]






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Will The Breakout To New Highs Stick This Time? – Weekly Market Outlook

The S&P 500 Index ended last week at a new high, and the technical trend momentum picture is bullish.  But we’ve seen similar moves since February reverse several times, as the market has remained in a choppy and grinding narrowing range (with a mild upside bias). The $64,000 question: Do we trust the move we just got […]






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The Week in Russell 2000 and Nasdaq-100 Volatility – 11/3 – 11/7

I’m going to start with the Nasdaq-100 because I have a lot more to say about Russell 2000 volatility this week. VXN was down about 6% despite the underlying market rising only a little last week. This is one of those time periods where VXN and RVX both appear to take the lead from VIX more than in reaction to […]